Jan 19

How high can gold go? Most believe this depends on the effect of inflation. However, we are not likely to see this for at least another 2-3 years. There is no denying that the super low interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England has dramatically increased the money supply. When you consider the extended period for which these low interest rates have been held, inflation seems a certainty. These central banks need to put the brakes on quick.

Also, central banks worldwide are becoming net buyers of gold as opposed to net sellers. This has put upward pressure on the gold price. Look, globally $12 trillion in stimulus has been created. Most of this is yet to be spent. When it is we are likely to see inflation in most areas. The case for $5,000 gold is looked at in detail in this excellent article on commodityonline.com.

It seems that the fundamentals indicate a bright future for gold.

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Jan 16

Goldman Sachs are gold bulls. They predict the price of gold may go to $1,350 an ounce within the next year. They also believe that interest rates will not be raised until 2012. Given how easy it is for private investors to buy physical gold it seems wise to act on Goldman Sachs’ prediction.

It’s common sense to put a portion of your savings into gold at the moment. Especially if Goldman Sachs’ prediction of no interest rate increases until 2012 comes true. This is a fabulous opportunity for you to protect the purchasing power of your savings. The relationship between low interest rates and money supply have serious implications down the line. Even if you are not as bullish as some of the more optimistic gold bulls out there, you should take Goldman Sachs’ prediction seriously. Remember, you can easily buy gold online and save a lot of money on commissions.

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Jan 16

Some of the best analysts with solid track records are predicting $5,000 gold. This is based on the amount of new money created in the last couple of years in order to stimulate economic activity and prevent the banks from going under. The will have an effect on inflation, to what extent will determine where gold will go. This interview is worth checking out before you decide to buy gold.

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Jan 16

Interesting video that I found on YouTube about why physical silver and gold is a better hedge against hyperinflation than ETFs. Again the choice on how to invest in gold is totally up to you. You know what’s best for you when you buy gold. However, it’s always good hear a broad range of opinion about buying gold before you invest.

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Jan 13

The Chinese government has increased the amount of deposits banks must hold on money lent out. This is expected to reduce the amount on money flowing into commodities, and therefore, some predict that the Gold price will fall back.

This may create an opportunity to buy in the dip. However, the purchasing power of China’s currency will improve in the long term as a result of this rule on the fractional reserve system Chinese banks implement. If your currency is the Dollar, Euro or GB Pound this new regulation won’t have a significant impact commodity prices in the long term.

Here is a Bloomberg article that highlights this issue.

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Nov 25

This is an interesting video that looks at where we are in the current Gold cycle. It compares the gold price to the amount of dollars in circulation. It raises some valid points.

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Nov 25

This video may project an over enthusiastic view of how high gold could go. However it’s worth a look. Enjoy.

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Nov 09

Gold hit a new record high of  $1,111.70 and ounce today.  Gold mining stocks also benefited from the current interest in gold.  However, it’s worth recognizing that stocks were also up today.  This points to the fact that the weak dollar is the main reason for the surge in gold and other asset classes.

There is also a believe in some quarters that China may pass on buying gold from the IMF. This is a significant consideration when looking to future Gold prices.  In an interesting article by Peter Koven this is highlighted in greater detail.
All in all, it seems that the two main questions that relate to gold’s current rally are
1) What is the Dollar going to do?
2) What are the central banks of the world going to do?

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