Jan 12

The IMF predicts that growth in China and India along with other developing countries will be about 7.3 percent this year. This shows an economic re-balancing between the west and the east. Most of the global growth will occur in Asian countries over the next 10 years.  Deutche Bank’s Chief Economist for China Ma Jun stated that in the next 10 years the GDP of China could overtake that of the United States.

This increased wealth in the East, and the need for major infrastructural projects in that region, indicate an increased demand for commodities. According to Bank of America-Merrill Lynch executive Diego Parrilla commodities as an asset class look promising. Oil, platinum, copper and gold will extend their rally this year as growth in emerging markets including China and investment demand fuel gains.

The relationship between Gold and the Dollar has quite a lot to do with the believe that Gold may rise. This is because of the money that has been injected into the system as part of various stimulus packages throughout the world. This points to inflation as people’s savings have been diluted by all this new money. Central banks in Asia are buying Gold. Previously Central Banks globally were net sellers of Gold. This change in central banking policy emphasis Gold’s strength right now.

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Dec 28

What will 2010 hold for precious metals? Here is David Morgan’s take. In this video he looks at Gold, Silver and Platinum and lays out what he thinks will happen in 2010.

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Nov 25

This is an interesting video that looks at where we are in the current Gold cycle. It compares the gold price to the amount of dollars in circulation. It raises some valid points.

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Nov 11

Max  Keiser has spotted a trend in the hedge fund industry towards hedge funds marketing themselves as having  10% – 20%  of their assets in gold. It’s quite interesting when you think about it. No currencies are backed by gold yet a significant portion of hedge funds could be. Check out what Max said in greater detail below:

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Oct 26

The Dollar’s rise today has resulted in Gold falling to under $1040 an ounce. This trend was seen across all the precious metals and indeed commodities a whole. The question remains how much is the dollar going to recover it’s losses that have taken place over the last three weeks. A balanced and moderate view needs to be taken when deciding the best time to buy more gold. If prices decline further it may well present a great opportunity to buy. Remember, Gold is still trading over $1,000 an ounce. That’s still very impressive.

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Oct 17

Recently, Gold hit three consecutive highs. This has been based on a general hedge against the US Dollar. Some analysts believe that Gold will continue to rise while others believe that it was fall because the Dollar was oversold last week. Again, when it comes to Gold investing from an individual’s perspective the long term question is the most important. Most of the speculation regarding Gold in the media is focused on the short term movements. That’s a game you should be wary off.

I don’t believe in short term speculation when it comes to gold. For an individual, you should focus on using Gold as a means to protect the value of their savings in the long term. When inflation is considered Gold is still a long way off the crazy highs of the late 1970s into the early 1980s. The potential for further increases is there. However, remember that the 1970s prices where crazy. Look just take a balanced approach to the current move upwards in gold.

Be aware that in the future many central banks throughout the world will consider hiking interest rates to reduce the money supply and stop inflation. This will have an effect on gold. Keep the radar switched on.

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