What if the purchasing power of the dollar falls dramatically? What if the relationship between gold and the USD re-calibrates to the ratio of 1980? Here is an interesting video that looks at this in detail. It’s actually quite scary but the points are well argued.
Gold climbed alongside the dollar after a deal was struck to help Greece. Also, the same concerns on Greece. Spain and Portugal which has seen the dollar increase against the euro by 5.1% this year are driving the gold price up. Read more in Business Week.
How high can gold go? Most believe this depends on the effect of inflation. However, we are not likely to see this for at least another 2-3 years. There is no denying that the super low interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England has dramatically increased the money supply. When you consider the extended period for which these low interest rates have been held, inflation seems a certainty. These central banks need to put the brakes on quick.
Also, central banks worldwide are becoming net buyers of gold as opposed to net sellers. This has put upward pressure on the gold price. Look, globally $12 trillion in stimulus has been created. Most of this is yet to be spent. When it is we are likely to see inflation in most areas. The case for $5,000 gold is looked at in detail in this excellent article on commodityonline.com.
It seems that the fundamentals indicate a bright future for gold.
Some of the best analysts with solid track records are predicting $5,000 gold. This is based on the amount of new money created in the last couple of years in order to stimulate economic activity and prevent the banks from going under. The will have an effect on inflation, to what extent will determine where gold will go. This interview is worth checking out before you decide to buy gold.
